2019 MLB Betting: Mets' Odds for World Series See Massive Shift

Eli Hershkovich
August 07, 2019 - 2:51 pm

The New York Mets owned a 50-55 record on July 28, sitting six games back of the second National League wild-card spot. Moreover, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook priced their World Series title odds at 500-1.

Fast-forward less than two weeks. Mickey Callaway’s team holds a 60-56 mark and entered Wednesday night facing just a one-game deficit for the same ticket to the postseason.

What’s even more astonishing? The Mets' World Series futures are 50-1, according to Jeff Sherman — the Westgate SuperBook vice president of risk management. They’re tied for the 13th-shortest odds, and the full list of favorites are below.

World Series Futures

Astros +200
Dodgers +250
Yankees +600
Braves 10-1
Twins 12-1
Cubs 12-1
Indians 25-1
Rays 25-1
Nationals 30-1
Cardinals 30-1
Phillies 40-1
Brewers 40-1
A’s 50-1
Mets 50-1

New York’s surge began by trading for former Blue Jays righty Marcus Stroman, who boasts the 13th-lowest ERA (3.06) among qualified starters, before the MLB trade deadline. The Mets’ starting rotation has tallied a combined 3.81 FIP and 4.04 ERA (Fielding Independent Pitching) since acquiring him on July 28, good for the ninth- and fourth-lowest in the game, respectively.

Their relievers (third-highest bullpen ERA overall) have even strung together the fifth-lowest ERA (2.77) during that span. They’ve also tallied the league’s 10th-highest on-base percentage (.346), paced by lead-off man Jeff McNeil’s stellar stretch (.375/.487/.813).

There isn’t much value left in the Mets' World Series futures, considering they could experience some regression over the next month-plus and see their odds to increase as a result. But if there’s a local sportsbook with a better price, a rotation of Stroman, Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndgergaard and Zack Wheeler possesses the firepower to make a deep run come October.